Haft of the Spear

On a more positive note, this is a welcome development:

After attracting repeated controversy, a premier product of the nation’s intelligence community — the National Intelligence Estimate — is getting a makeover by senior intelligence officials to improve its credibility.

• Re-validating and vetting of sources
• Ditching the quest for consensus
• Giving more credence to the most powerful argument

What I think would be just as useful as any of these other changes is the formal inclusion of non-IC experts into the mix both early and often. This happens to an extent but not enough. The more diverse minds on the problem the better, and the injection of much more freely available and readily verifiable OSINT helps reduce the tunnel vision on possibly specious secrets.